Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.213495 2.917263e-01 0.384123 0.499442 0.637632 0.796085 0.989621
2026-02-08 0.117284 2.083823e-01 0.334901 0.514700 0.754801 1.055837 1.452820
2026-02-15 0.060393 1.455102e-01 0.286058 0.512094 0.843789 1.290886 1.916066
2026-02-22 0.035499 1.162531e-01 0.272618 0.551198 0.990620 1.614775 2.523690
2026-03-01 0.019281 9.044239e-02 0.253555 0.574163 1.113817 1.915616 3.123264
2026-03-08 0.009091 6.728137e-02 0.228433 0.578376 1.205016 2.175154 3.680779
2026-03-15 0.003429 4.754529e-02 0.199832 0.566923 1.265602 2.390257 4.184599
2026-03-22 0.001253 3.627963e-02 0.185236 0.577891 1.363025 2.665957 4.789115
2026-03-29 0.000301 2.666010e-02 0.168689 0.579386 1.441432 2.914224 5.362119
2026-04-05 0.000018 1.780059e-02 0.146852 0.561863 1.480190 3.098059 5.842741
2026-04-12 NaN 1.158064e-02 0.128143 0.545637 1.517463 3.279223 6.324474
2026-04-19 NaN 8.088034e-03 0.117582 0.547393 1.589760 3.522453 6.912023
2026-04-26 NaN 4.571421e-03 0.100162 0.524781 1.610173 3.680099 7.375767
2026-05-03 NaN 3.454047e-03 0.098010 0.548511 1.733397 4.027057 8.160646
2026-05-10 NaN 2.132333e-03 0.089811 0.549857 1.806635 4.287350 8.812371
2026-05-17 NaN 1.851858e-03 0.093369 0.593184 1.979696 4.737813 9.792894
2026-05-24 NaN 1.359208e-03 0.092058 0.618543 2.112823 5.119587 10.669125
2026-05-31 NaN 7.959107e-04 0.085861 0.623585 2.197999 5.415102 11.408456
2026-06-07 NaN 3.469442e-04 0.076347 0.611799 2.240736 5.631656 12.019628
2026-06-14 NaN 1.811180e-04 0.072752 0.623536 2.342385 5.964287 12.836949
2026-06-21 NaN 6.821153e-05 0.067364 0.625196 2.418172 6.249115 13.578259
2026-06-28 NaN 9.121197e-06 0.058581 0.606728 2.439518 6.427711 14.139587
2026-07-05 NaN 7.178804e-08 0.050923 0.589602 2.461878 6.608252 14.707952